
Tread Carefully Stats & Draft Guide
Tread Carefully is a Hot Zone map with 133 Ranked battles of top players in the last 21 days. The best measured pick right now is Gus at 83% over 126 matches. Below: who wins here, who is safe to pick early, who to keep for later and who to avoid, each with the matches behind the number.
- Ranked battles
- 133 · last 21 days
- In Ranked rotation
- Yes · last battle 2026-09-05
- Best measured pick
- Gus · 83% over 126 matches
- Most picked
- Gus · in 95% of battles
What the data says about Tread Carefully
Over the last 21 days we counted 133 Ranked battles of top players on Tread Carefully. 5 brawlers have at least 30 matches here, so they get a win rate; 70 more were picked too rarely to judge. The map is in the current Ranked rotation (last battle 2026-09-05).
Counted from Ranked matches of top players over the last 21 days, last updated 2026-09-06. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less. A brawler needs at least 30 matches on this map before we show a win rate.
Best Brawlers on Tread Carefully by win rate
The strongest measured pick on Tread Carefully is Gus: 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Gus (83%) combines a winning record here with a high blind-pick safety, so it is the safest early picks.
| Brawler | Win rate on Tread Carefully | Matches | How sure | Picked in | vs Hot Zone | Draft verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus support | 83% | 126 | fairly reliable | 95% of battles | +26 pts | safe early pick |
| Amber fighter | 82% | 116 | fairly reliable | 87% of battles | +14 pts | strong pick |
| El Primo tank | 80% | 85 | fairly reliable | 64% of battles | +17 pts | strong pick |
| Shade assassin | 45% | 33 | early signal | 25% of battles | -7 pts | avoid |
| Wendy fighter | 27% | 37 | early signal | 28% of battles | -34 pts | avoid |
Safe picks and risky picks on Tread Carefully
Safe means winning here with a good sample and hard to punish when picked blind; risky means the numbers say it loses, or it wins but is easy to counter once the enemy sees it. The pick-order guide explains when to lock what.
Safe early picks
Winning record, a fairly reliable sample or better, and a blind-pick safety of at least 6/10 in the coaching model.
- Gus — 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.
Also winning here
Winning record without a strong pick-order signal, or with a sample that is still small.
Map effect: who changes on Tread Carefully
A gap of 4 points or more to the brawler's own Hot Zone average, with at least 30 matches on both sides. Compare with the live tier list: a modest overall tier can hide a Tread Carefully specialist.
Better here than in Hot Zone overall
The Tread Carefully specialists.
- Gus — 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.
- El Primo — 80% over 85 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 64% of battles, 17 points above its Hot Zone average of 63%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Amber — 82% over 116 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 87% of battles, 14 points above its Hot Zone average of 68%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
Worse here than in Hot Zone overall
This layout works against them.
Brawlers to avoid on Tread Carefully
Which roles win on Tread Carefully
The best performing role on Tread Carefully is tank: 73% over 130 matches, 19 points above the Hot Zone average for that role. The weakest is sharpshooter at 16% over 31 matches.
| Role | Win rate on Tread Carefully | Matches | How sure | vs Hot Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| tank | 73% | 130 | fairly reliable | +19 pts |
| support | 72% | 158 | fairly reliable | +23 pts |
| fighter | 43% | 311 | reliable | -7 pts |
| assassin | 35% | 91 | fairly reliable | -13 pts |
| thrower | 29% | 31 | early signal | -21 pts |
| controller | 19% | 32 | early signal | -34 pts |
| sharpshooter | 16% | 31 | early signal | -31 pts |
Roles are the coaching model's class per brawler.
Most picked on Tread Carefully
How often top players take a brawler onto Tread Carefully, and how it went. Popular is not the same as good.
- Gus — picked in 95% of battles, 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable) (safe early pick).
- Amber — picked in 87% of battles, 82% over 116 matches (fairly reliable) (strong pick).
- El Primo — picked in 64% of battles, 80% over 85 matches (fairly reliable) (strong pick).
- Wendy — picked in 28% of battles, 27% over 37 matches (early signal) (avoid).
- Shade — picked in 25% of battles, 45% over 33 matches (early signal) (avoid).
How to read these numbers
A win rate only means something when enough matches sit behind it. Next to every number we say how sure we are:
- reliable — 200 matches or more: a solid basis for a verdict.
- fairly reliable — 80 to 199 matches: enough to spot a real pattern.
- early signal — 30 to 79 matches: a hint, not a verdict.
- too few matches — fewer than 30 matches, so we do not show a win rate yet.
A 60% win rate over 40 matches can easily be luck; a 54% win rate over 800 matches is a real edge. Brawlers with fewer than 30 matches are listed without a win rate on purpose.
The coaches' view on Tread Carefully
The coaching model's view of Tread Carefully, next to the measured numbers above. When the two disagree, trust the one with more matches behind it.
The coaching model has no map-specific notes for Tread Carefully yet. Use the Hot Zone mode ranking next to the measured numbers above.
Mode context
Tread Carefully is a Hot Zone map. Read the mode guide for the win condition and role requirements, then apply the map-specific picks above.
Other Hot Zone maps
Same mode, different layout. Compare before you build your Hot Zone pool, or start from the Hot Zone mode guide.
Ring of FireHot Zone · mixed layout · picks and win rates
Dueling BeetlesHot Zone · mixed layout · picks and win rates
Parallel PlaysHot Zone · closed layout · picks and win rates
Golden BayHot Zone · picks and win rates
Open BusinessHot Zone · picks and win rates
Massive AttackHot Zone · limited data
Under PressureHot Zone · limited dataData confidence
The measured numbers on this page come from 133 Ranked battles of top players on Tread Carefully in the last 21 days. 5 brawlers have enough matches here to show a win rate; 70 more were picked too rarely. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less, and no win rate is shown below 30 matches.