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Layout of the Tread Carefully map

Tread Carefully Stats & Draft Guide

Tread Carefully is a Hot Zone map with 133 Ranked battles of top players in the last 21 days. The best measured pick right now is Gus at 83% over 126 matches. Below: who wins here, who is safe to pick early, who to keep for later and who to avoid, each with the matches behind the number.

Hot Zone · 133 Ranked battles in the last 21 days · meta September 1 Balance Update
Ranked battles
133 · last 21 days
In Ranked rotation
Yes · last battle 2026-09-05
Best measured pick
Gus · 83% over 126 matches
Most picked
Gus · in 95% of battles

What the data says about Tread Carefully

Over the last 21 days we counted 133 Ranked battles of top players on Tread Carefully. 5 brawlers have at least 30 matches here, so they get a win rate; 70 more were picked too rarely to judge. The map is in the current Ranked rotation (last battle 2026-09-05).

Counted from Ranked matches of top players over the last 21 days, last updated 2026-09-06. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less. A brawler needs at least 30 matches on this map before we show a win rate.

Best Brawlers on Tread Carefully by win rate

The strongest measured pick on Tread Carefully is Gus: 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Gus (83%) combines a winning record here with a high blind-pick safety, so it is the safest early picks.

BrawlerWin rate on Tread CarefullyMatchesHow surePicked invs Hot ZoneDraft verdict
Gus support83%126fairly reliable95% of battles+26 ptssafe early pick
Amber fighter82%116fairly reliable87% of battles+14 ptsstrong pick
El Primo tank80%85fairly reliable64% of battles+17 ptsstrong pick
Shade assassin45%33early signal25% of battles-7 ptsavoid
Wendy fighter27%37early signal28% of battles-34 ptsavoid

Safe picks and risky picks on Tread Carefully

Safe means winning here with a good sample and hard to punish when picked blind; risky means the numbers say it loses, or it wins but is easy to counter once the enemy sees it. The pick-order guide explains when to lock what.

Safe early picks

Winning record, a fairly reliable sample or better, and a blind-pick safety of at least 6/10 in the coaching model.

  • Gus83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.

Also winning here

Winning record without a strong pick-order signal, or with a sample that is still small.

  • Amber82% over 116 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 87% of battles, 14 points above its Hot Zone average of 68%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
  • El Primo80% over 85 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 64% of battles, 17 points above its Hot Zone average of 63%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.

Map effect: who changes on Tread Carefully

A gap of 4 points or more to the brawler's own Hot Zone average, with at least 30 matches on both sides. Compare with the live tier list: a modest overall tier can hide a Tread Carefully specialist.

Better here than in Hot Zone overall

The Tread Carefully specialists.

  • Gus83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 95% of battles, 26 points above its Hot Zone average of 58%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.
  • El Primo80% over 85 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 64% of battles, 17 points above its Hot Zone average of 63%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
  • Amber82% over 116 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 87% of battles, 14 points above its Hot Zone average of 68%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.

Worse here than in Hot Zone overall

This layout works against them.

  • Wendy27% over 37 matches (early signal), picked in 28% of battles, 34 points below its Hot Zone average of 61%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
  • Shade45% over 33 matches (early signal), picked in 25% of battles, 7 points below its Hot Zone average of 53%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.

Brawlers to avoid on Tread Carefully

Clearly losing records on Tread Carefully; the match count says how much weight to give each one.

  • Wendy27% over 37 matches (early signal), picked in 28% of battles.
  • Shade45% over 33 matches (early signal), picked in 25% of battles.

Which roles win on Tread Carefully

The best performing role on Tread Carefully is tank: 73% over 130 matches, 19 points above the Hot Zone average for that role. The weakest is sharpshooter at 16% over 31 matches.

RoleWin rate on Tread CarefullyMatchesHow surevs Hot Zone
tank73%130fairly reliable+19 pts
support72%158fairly reliable+23 pts
fighter43%311reliable-7 pts
assassin35%91fairly reliable-13 pts
thrower29%31early signal-21 pts
controller19%32early signal-34 pts
sharpshooter16%31early signal-31 pts

Roles are the coaching model's class per brawler.

Most picked on Tread Carefully

How often top players take a brawler onto Tread Carefully, and how it went. Popular is not the same as good.

  • Guspicked in 95% of battles, 83% over 126 matches (fairly reliable) (safe early pick).
  • Amberpicked in 87% of battles, 82% over 116 matches (fairly reliable) (strong pick).
  • El Primopicked in 64% of battles, 80% over 85 matches (fairly reliable) (strong pick).
  • Wendypicked in 28% of battles, 27% over 37 matches (early signal) (avoid).
  • Shadepicked in 25% of battles, 45% over 33 matches (early signal) (avoid).

How to read these numbers

A win rate only means something when enough matches sit behind it. Next to every number we say how sure we are:

  • reliable 200 matches or more: a solid basis for a verdict.
  • fairly reliable 80 to 199 matches: enough to spot a real pattern.
  • early signal 30 to 79 matches: a hint, not a verdict.
  • too few matches fewer than 30 matches, so we do not show a win rate yet.

A 60% win rate over 40 matches can easily be luck; a 54% win rate over 800 matches is a real edge. Brawlers with fewer than 30 matches are listed without a win rate on purpose.

The coaches' view on Tread Carefully

The coaching model's view of Tread Carefully, next to the measured numbers above. When the two disagree, trust the one with more matches behind it.

The coaching model has no map-specific notes for Tread Carefully yet. Use the Hot Zone mode ranking next to the measured numbers above.

Mode context

Tread Carefully is a Hot Zone map. Read the mode guide for the win condition and role requirements, then apply the map-specific picks above.

Other Hot Zone maps

Data confidence

The measured numbers on this page come from 133 Ranked battles of top players on Tread Carefully in the last 21 days. 5 brawlers have enough matches here to show a win rate; 70 more were picked too rarely. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less, and no win rate is shown below 30 matches.

Need the best pick for your actual draft? Open the Draft Tool.