Hot Potato Stats & Draft Guide
Hot Potato is a Heist map with 1,066 Ranked battles of top players in the last 21 days. The best measured pick right now is Nori at 61% over 249 matches. Below: who wins here, who is safe to pick early, who to keep for later and who to avoid, each with the matches behind the number.
- Ranked battles
- 1,066 · last 21 days
- In Ranked rotation
- Yes · last battle 2026-11-15
- Best measured pick
- Nori · 61% over 249 matches
- Most picked
- Colette · in 50% of battles
What the data says about Hot Potato
Over the last 21 days we counted 1,066 Ranked battles of top players on Hot Potato. 38 brawlers have at least 30 matches here, so they get a win rate; 44 more were picked too rarely to judge. The map is in the current Ranked rotation (last battle 2026-11-15).
Counted from Ranked matches of top players over the last 21 days, last updated 2026-11-15. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less. A brawler needs at least 30 matches on this map before we show a win rate.
Best Brawlers on Hot Potato by win rate
The strongest measured pick on Hot Potato is Nori: 61% over 249 matches (reliable), picked in 29% of battles, 2 points above its Heist average of 59%. Nita (59%), Emz (58%), Rico (55%), Lou (52%) combine a winning record here with a high blind-pick safety, so they are the safest early picks. Edgar (53%) wins here too but is easy to counter: keep it for a late pick. Amber (48% over 228 matches) is among the most picked brawlers here yet loses more than it wins.
| Brawler | Win rate on Hot Potato | Matches | How sure | Picked in | vs Heist | Draft verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bibi fighter | 70% | 70 | early signal | 7% of battles | +5 pts | promising |
| Nori fighter | 61% | 249 | reliable | 29% of battles | +2 pts | strong pick |
| Sirius fighter | 63% | 107 | fairly reliable | 10% of battles | +6 pts | strong pick |
| Nita fighter | 59% | 109 | fairly reliable | 10% of battles | +6 pts | safe early pick |
| Emz controller | 58% | 142 | fairly reliable | 13% of battles | -1 pts | safe early pick |
| Rico sharpshooter | 55% | 388 | reliable | 45% of battles | +3 pts | safe early pick |
| Brock sharpshooter | 55% | 121 | fairly reliable | 20% of battles | +11 pts | strong pick |
| Edgar assassin | 53% | 191 | fairly reliable | 18% of battles | -1 pts | strong, pick late |
| Lumi fighter | 54% | 81 | fairly reliable | 8% of battles | +4 pts | strong pick |
| Gigi fighter | 55% | 52 | early signal | 6% of battles | +9 pts | promising |
| Colette fighter | 52% | 422 | reliable | 50% of battles | -2 pts | coin flip |
| Chuck fighter | 53% | 102 | fairly reliable | 11% of battles | -4 pts | strong pick |
Showing the 12 strongest of 38 measured brawlers. "Picked in" is the share of Hot Potato battles with the brawler on either team. "vs Heist" is the win rate here minus the same brawler's win rate across all Heist maps.
Safe picks and risky picks on Hot Potato
Safe means winning here with a good sample and hard to punish when picked blind; risky means the numbers say it loses, or it wins but is easy to counter once the enemy sees it. The pick-order guide explains when to lock what.
Safe early picks
Winning record, a fairly reliable sample or better, and a blind-pick safety of at least 6/10 in the coaching model.
- Nita — 59% over 109 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 10% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 53%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Emz — 58% over 142 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 13% of battles, in line with its Heist average. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Rico — 55% over 388 matches (reliable), picked in 45% of battles, 3 points above its Heist average of 52%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Lou — 52% over 84 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 8% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 46%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.
Strong, but keep for a late pick
Win here but are easy to counter: lock them in once the enemy draft is visible, after checking which counters are still open.
- Edgar — 53% over 191 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 18% of battles, in line with its Heist average. Blind-pick safety 4/10.
Also winning here
Winning record without a strong pick-order signal, or with a sample that is still small.
- Bibi — 70% over 70 matches (early signal), picked in 7% of battles, 5 points above its Heist average of 65%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Nori — 61% over 249 matches (reliable), picked in 29% of battles, 2 points above its Heist average of 59%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Sirius — 63% over 107 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 10% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 57%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Brock — 55% over 121 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 20% of battles, 11 points above its Heist average of 43%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Lumi — 54% over 81 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 8% of battles, 4 points above its Heist average of 50%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Gigi — 55% over 52 matches (early signal), picked in 6% of battles, 9 points above its Heist average of 46%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
2 more measured brawlers carry this verdict on this map; only the strongest 6 are listed.
Popular but losing
Among the 8 most picked brawlers on Hot Potato, yet losing more than winning.
- Amber — 48% over 228 matches (reliable), picked in 27% of battles, in line with its Heist average. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
Map effect: who changes on Hot Potato
A gap of 4 points or more to the brawler's own Heist average, with at least 30 matches on both sides. Compare with the live tier list: a modest overall tier can hide a Hot Potato specialist.
Better here than in Heist overall
The Hot Potato specialists.
- Brock — 55% over 121 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 20% of battles, 11 points above its Heist average of 43%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Mandy — 48% over 54 matches (early signal), picked in 5% of battles, 11 points above its Heist average of 37%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Gigi — 55% over 52 matches (early signal), picked in 6% of battles, 9 points above its Heist average of 46%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Nita — 59% over 109 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 10% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 53%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Sirius — 63% over 107 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 10% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 57%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Lou — 52% over 84 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 8% of battles, 6 points above its Heist average of 46%. Blind-pick safety 7/10.
Worse here than in Heist overall
This layout works against them.
- Squeak — 21% over 33 matches (early signal), picked in 3% of battles, 23 points below its Heist average of 44%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- Colt — 43% over 451 matches (reliable), picked in 42% of battles, 8 points below its Heist average of 51%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- 8-Bit — 46% over 132 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 15% of battles, 8 points below its Heist average of 54%. Blind-pick safety 4/10.
- Jessie — 40% over 45 matches (early signal), picked in 4% of battles, 7 points below its Heist average of 47%. Blind-pick safety 6/10.
- El Primo — 44% over 32 matches (early signal), picked in 3% of battles, 6 points below its Heist average of 50%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
- Melodie — 51% over 345 matches (reliable), picked in 37% of battles, 6 points below its Heist average of 57%. Blind-pick safety 5/10.
Brawlers to avoid on Hot Potato
Clearly losing records on Hot Potato; the match count says how much weight to give each one.
- Buzz — 31% over 71 matches (early signal), picked in 7% of battles.
- Squeak — 21% over 33 matches (early signal), picked in 3% of battles.
- Colt — 43% over 451 matches (reliable), picked in 42% of battles.
- Kaze — 43% over 171 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 16% of battles.
- Mico — 42% over 106 matches (fairly reliable), picked in 10% of battles.
- Cordelius — 41% over 79 matches (early signal), picked in 7% of battles.
Which roles win on Hot Potato
The best performing role on Hot Potato is fighter: 52% over 2,110 matches. The weakest is thrower at 42% over 91 matches.
| Role | Win rate on Hot Potato | Matches | How sure | vs Heist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| fighter | 52% | 2,110 | reliable | +1 pts |
| controller | 52% | 433 | reliable | +2 pts |
| tank | 50% | 209 | reliable | +1 pts |
| sharpshooter | 49% | 1,337 | reliable | 0 pts |
| support | 48% | 222 | reliable | +5 pts |
| assassin | 46% | 944 | reliable | -5 pts |
| marksman | 44% | 168 | fairly reliable | -3 pts |
| thrower | 42% | 91 | fairly reliable | -4 pts |
Roles are the coaching model's class per brawler.
Most picked on Hot Potato
How often top players take a brawler onto Hot Potato, and how it went. Popular is not the same as good.
- Colette — picked in 50% of battles, 52% over 422 matches (reliable) (coin flip).
- Rico — picked in 45% of battles, 55% over 388 matches (reliable) (safe early pick).
- Colt — picked in 42% of battles, 43% over 451 matches (reliable) (avoid).
- Melodie — picked in 37% of battles, 51% over 345 matches (reliable) (coin flip).
- Nori — picked in 29% of battles, 61% over 249 matches (reliable) (strong pick).
- Amber — picked in 27% of battles, 48% over 228 matches (reliable) (popular but losing).
- Griff — picked in 22% of battles, 51% over 234 matches (reliable) (coin flip).
- Brock — picked in 20% of battles, 55% over 121 matches (fairly reliable) (strong pick).
How to read these numbers
A win rate only means something when enough matches sit behind it. Next to every number we say how sure we are:
- reliable — 200 matches or more: a solid basis for a verdict.
- fairly reliable — 80 to 199 matches: enough to spot a real pattern.
- early signal — 30 to 79 matches: a hint, not a verdict.
- too few matches — fewer than 30 matches, so we do not show a win rate yet.
A 60% win rate over 40 matches can easily be luck; a 54% win rate over 800 matches is a real edge. Brawlers with fewer than 30 matches are listed without a win rate on purpose.
The coaches' view on Hot Potato
The coaching model's view of the closed layout of Hot Potato, next to the measured numbers above. When the two disagree, trust the one with more matches behind it.
Coaches' later picks: Griff, Darryl, Colt fit the map but are easier to counter, so keep them for the middle or last pick.
Mode context
Hot Potato is a Heist map. Read the mode guide for the win condition and role requirements, then apply the map-specific picks above.
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The measured numbers on this page come from 1,066 Ranked battles of top players on Hot Potato in the last 21 days. 12 brawlers have enough matches here to show a win rate; 44 more were picked too rarely. Matches played before the latest balance change count for less, and no win rate is shown below 30 matches.